World economy to trudge on in 2012 despite Europe: Reuters poll (Reuters)

LONDON (Reuters) ? Europe faces another year of dismal economic performance in 2012 that will weigh on global growth, but emerging markets and the United States should at least keep the world economy moving in the right direction.

There are several reasons why next year may be nothing to look forward to, according to Reuters polls from the last few months.

Many of the world's biggest developed economies are heading into recession, global stock markets look set to recoup only a fraction of their heavy losses in 2011, oil prices will head lower, and asset managers are unsure where best to invest.

And these could be the best-case scenarios.

Most economists base their assumptions on the hope that the euro zone's sovereign debt crisis will not boil over into a new global economic crisis, having already dented growth in major exporters to Europe.

Still, most of the major emerging market economies like Brazil and China should pick up speed later next year. All of them have suffered from slowing economies in recent months, caused mainly by tightening monetary policy in the face of high inflation.

"It's important to stress the world economy is still growing. But it's a tale of two worlds," said Gerard Lyons, chief economist at Standard Chartered Bank.

"The storyline for 2012 is that Europe drags the world down in the first half of the year, and China drags it up in the second half of the year."

Enormous political risks cloud the outlook further, with elections and leadership changes in the most powerful countries and the prospect of continuing turmoil in the Middle East.

Still, there are glimmers of hope. The United States' economy has performed better than most had hoped over the last quarter, and Reuters' polls of economists show it growing around 2.2 percent in 2012, compared with zero growth in the euro zone.

"The big unknown in Europe and the U.S. is that big companies, with balance sheets in good shape, have the ability to invest at home if they want. It's more likely that will take place in the U.S. rather than Europe," said Lyons.

THE EURO ZONE QUESTION

European Union leaders took a historic step towards greater fiscal integration earlier in December, but economists have been clear that this would not ease a debt crisis entering its third year and still hogging the headlines in 2012.

Reuters polls show real concern that leaders are doing far too little to stimulate growth, with the likes of Spain and Italy destined for long and painful recessions.

The euro zone as a whole, meanwhile, is probably in a moderate recession right now that will last midway into 2012.

"The euro area continues to be a source of economic and financial instability for the rest of the world," said Juan Perez-Campanero, economist at Santander, in a research note.

"We could be facing a more permanent and lasting decline in growth capacity in developed economies and, particularly, the euro area."

Whether Spain and Italy will need to seek funding from the euro zone's bailout facility next year is open to question, with a very slim majority of economists polled this month - 27 out of 56 - saying not.

And a November survey of 20 top economists and former policymakers in academia and respected research institutes showed 14 of them do not expect the euro zone to survive in its current form.

Even in Japan, where economists have downgraded growth forecasts relentlessly, the economy is expected to pick up in the fiscal year from April and expand 1.8 percent. Japan should narrowly avoid a recession, but polls show little hope it will emerge from deflation any time soon.

ASSESSING THE ASSETS

The severe uncertainty surrounding 2012 is perhaps best reflected by Reuters' asset allocation poll of more than 50 leading investment houses in the United States, Europe and Japan.

Investors raised their cash balance to the highest in a year in December as they prepared for a jittery 2012, although they also moved back into cheap equities, Reuters polls showed on Monday.

The euro zone crisis was the key concern of asset managers polled, hence the increased preference for cash as well as moves into British and Asian shares rather than European ones.

Similarly, the last quarterly stock markets poll suggested emerging markets will easily outperform European share indexes in 2012, which will struggle to bounce back to end-2010 levels, never mind end-2011.

With Europe heading into a recession, oil prices look set to fall from here. Brent crude will average $105 a barrel next year, not far below this year's record high average near $111.

"We expect a mild recession across the OECD next year to put a damper on demand and consequently prices," David Wech from Vienna-based consultants JBC Energy said. "Nevertheless, the risk to oil prices is definitely on the upside given a still troubled geopolitical environment."

Economic growth is likely to slow among the Gulf's wealthy oil exporters next year, but governments will remain able to spend to counter the impact of any global slump, a Reuters poll showed on Wednesday.

Respondents cited the euro zone debt crisis and signs of slowing growth in China as reasons for the darkened economic outlook in the Gulf.

DELAYED CHINESE CHEERS

Whatever the euro zone's future, the effects of the debt crisis have already been felt across the world. The European Union is China's biggest export market, and manufacturing data there show dwindling levels of foreign new orders.

Indeed, the Chinese economy is now growing at its weakest pace since 2009. In an effort to support it the central bank cut reserve requirements at the end of last month for the first time in three years.

Economists polled by Reuters after this move, however, said the People's Bank of China will refrain from more aggressive stimulative policies unless growth falls sharply to below 8 percent.

Similarly, India has been suffering from a pronounced slowdown in growth and Reuters polls suggest its central bank will also slacken monetary policy by mid-2012 to counter this, despite stubbornly high inflation. It could be in for a difficult year.

"Looking ahead, the economy faces the lagged effects of monetary tightening," said Leif Eskesen, economist HSBC in Singapore.

"Moreover, administrative hurdles and domestic policy paralysis are holding back investments and hurting sentiment."

Brazil's central bank on Thursday cut its 2011 growth estimate to 3.0 percent, versus its previous estimate of 3.5 percent, and said 2012 would see growth of 3.5 percent.

Compared with previous years where growth averaged near double-digit rates, that would be a disappointment, although still a fair improvement on the anaemic rates of most developed peers.

Overall, even the slightly depressed growth rates from these developing economic powers will power world growth next year.

"It is positive growth, but the picture does vary considerably - not just in terms of the first and second half of the year, but also depending on which part of the world you look at," concluded Lyons from Standard Chartered.

(Analysis by Sumanta Dey in Bangalore, Additional reporting by Anooja Debnath in Singapore, Zaida Espana and Peter Apps in London; Polling by Reuters Polls Bangalore, Editing by Hugh Lawson)

Source: http://us.rd.yahoo.com/dailynews/rss/business/*http%3A//news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20111225/bs_nm/us_wrapup2012_polls

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Former Union Leader Admits Theft of Union Funds

??Former Union Leader Admits Theft of Union Funds

BUFFALO, NY?United States Attorney William J Hochul, Jr announced today that former union leader Ellis Woods, 61, of Clarence, NY ., pleaded guilty to wire fraud before United States District Judge Richard J Arcara. The charge carries a maximum penalty of 20 years in prison, a $250,000 fine or both.

Assistant United States Attorney Russell T Ippolito, Jr, who is handling the case, stated that the defendant devised a scheme to defraud the Buffalo Educational Support Team (?BEST?). BEST is a union representing more than 900 teacher?s aides and assistants in the Buffalo school district. While working as the elected President of BEST, Woods was provided a union issued credit card.

Between November 18, 2008, and February 7, 2011, Woods used the union credit card to pay for personal expenses, including gambling expenses that he incurred at local area casinos. In total, Woods stole $44,987.70 in union funds.

?Union members contribute hard earned money to benefit the union as a whole, not to line the pockets of union leaders,? said United States Attorney Hochul. ?Our office will not tolerate such behavior and will vigorously prosecute officials in any organization who seek to take advantage of members.?

The plea is the result of an investigation by the United States Department of Labor and the Federal Bureau of Investigation, under the direction of Christopher M Piehota.

Sentencing is scheduled for April, 19, 2012 at 1:00 PM in Buffalo, NY. before Judge Arcara.

Reported by: FBI

Published on: 2011-12-23

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Obama arrives to spend his 4th Christmas in Hawaii as president

By Rob Shikina


POSTED: 07:05 a.m. HST, Dec 23, 2011
LAST UPDATED: 09:12 p.m. HST, Dec 23, 2011

BRUCE ASATO / BASATO@STARADVERTISER.COM

President Barack Obama gets Air Force One and waves to a crowd that gathered on the tarmac.

BRUCE ASATO / BASATO@STARADVERTISER.COM

President Barack Obama walked to a crowd that gathered on the tarmac to shake hands, getting in photos and sign autographs.

BRUCE ASATO / BASATO@STARADVERTISER.COM

President Barack Obama chatted with a crowd that gathered on the tarmac to shake hands, getting in photos and sign autographs.

BRUCE ASATO / BASATO@STARADVERTISER.COM

President Barack Obama holds a baby, who was among those waiting at the tarmac at Hickam Air Force Base.

COURTESY JONATHAN CROSKEY

President Barack Obama was greeted on Friday by 5-month-old Harper Croskey at Joint Base Pearl Harbor-Hickam.


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President Barack Obama touched down on Oahu at 5:52 p.m. today for his?annual Christmas vacation in Hawaii.

His plane landed as the sun was setting at Joint Base Pearl?Harbor-Hickam with breezy winds and the temperature in the upper 70s.

Kaian Langevin, 10, was among dozens of military members and family or?friends of the Secret Service who were invited to the private arrival.

Langevin was with his parents and younger sister, who were invited by?his mother's friend.

"I think it's OK," he said of his chance to see Obama in person. "I?just think that some people would want it more than I would."

Obama was greeted upon his arrival by Lt. Gov.Brian Schatz; Mayor?Peter Carlisle; Admiral Robert Willard, commander of U.S. Pacific?Command; and Col. Sam Barrett, commander of the 15th Wing, Joint Base?Pearl Harbor-Hickam.

His plane taxied to the viewing area at 6:04 p.m. Dozens of visitors in the viewing area snapped photos.?

He emerged from Air Force One about 6:08 p.m., and jogged down the stairs in a light-blue dress shirt with the sleeves rolled up and brown dress pants. After officials greeted him, he walked over to the waiting crowd and said, "Hello everybody." He also wished "Merry Christmas" to the people.

He smiled widely and spent about 7 minutes shaking hands and signing autographs. At one point, he picked up a baby wearing a hat that looked like a panda cap and kissed another woman on the cheek. He waved goodbye at 6:17 p.m., and got back into a black sport-utility vehicle that whisked him away to his vacation compound.

He was to depart for his vacation compound in Kailua where First Lady?Michelle and children Malia and Sasha have been staying since arriving?in Hawaii on Saturday. The first family's dog, Bo, also arrived on the flight.?

Obama rolled into this vacation residence at 6:45 p.m. Bright Christmas lights adorned houses in the nearby streets, according to White House pool reports.

It was a big day for Harper Croskey, who turned 5 months old?Friday. He sat in the arms of the president and met Santa for the?first time. Obama spotted Croskey, who was wearing a panda hat because?it was a cold night, in a crowd of well-wishers on the military base.

"I turned him around just to take a picture with him," said Jonathan?Croskey, Harper's father. "He (Obama) was like 'Oh I'm great with?kids. I'll take him."

As Croskey was trying to take a photo with a new?iPhone 4S, Obama held baby Harper and joked that "dad doesn't know how?to work his camera."

About 90 minutes before Obama's arrival, the family got a call from a?friend with an invitation and dropped everything to show up. They?didn't even have time to change Harper's diaper and had to put pants?on him.

It is Obama's fourth vacation in Hawaii since he was elected. The first family will leave in early January.

Earlier today, Obama bid "aloha" to reporters in the White House briefing room.

The White House announced the president?s departure plans shortly after the House and the Senate signed off on a deal to extend payroll tax cuts after House Republicans reversed course and dropped their opposition.?

The Senate had already agreed to the two-month deal, but the House GOP refused to budge until Thursday evening.

The president signed the tax extention bill after it passed Congress this morning.

With Washington deadlocked, Obama delayed his annual December trip to Honolulu area, where he was born and mostly raised. He had planned to leave Washington on Dec. 17.

The president?s wife and daughters have been in Hawaii since late last week. The Obamas plan to return to Washington in early January.?

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Source: http://www.staradvertiser.com/news/breaking/136144943.html

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Privatization - Mexico - New PPP law provides greater legal certainty - minister

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Hotlines, lawyers' phones ringing in wake of Sandusky abuse case (Reuters)

WASHINGTON (Reuters) ? Child molestation charges against a former Penn State coach have sparked an unprecedented awareness of sexual abuse marked by a sharp upturn in calls to abuse hotlines and lawyers, attorneys and counselors said on Wednesday.

More allegations of sexual abuse and a growing number of lawsuits are likely in coming months as victims are emboldened to speak out by the blaze of publicity about Jerry Sandusky, the former Penn State assistant football coach, and other alleged molesters, they said.

"It's a watershed moment for child sex abuse victims, and I cringe as I say that because too often we equate public awareness with reform," said David Clohessy, a spokesman for the Survivors Network of those Abused by Priests, a support group.

The Sandusky case had one of its highest-profile ripple effects on Tuesday. Sports columnist Bill Conlin abruptly retired from the Philadelphia Daily News after a rival paper published a report accusing him of child sexual abuse.

A man and three women, including Conlin's niece, alleged he molested them as children. The niece said she and the others decided to speak out when reports about Sandusky awakened painful memories.

Conlin was "floored" by the story, his lawyer said.

"There have definitely been a lot more (abuse) survivors coming out that were triggered by Sandusky," said Marci Hamilton, one of the lawyers who filed the first civil suit against the former coach, Penn State and the Second Mile, a charity Sandusky founded.

MORE HOTLINE HELP

Sandusky, 67, faces 52 counts of sexually abusing 10 boys he met through the Second Mile. In the wake of the Sandusky charges, allegations of sexual abuse have been made against a Syracuse assistant basketball coach, a former Citadel student and the head of the Amateur Athletic Union.

Jennifer Marsh, hotline director at the Rape, Abuse and Incest National Network, said she had had to add more counselors to handle the growing call load. Online text contacts, which guarantee more anonymity, have rocketed 54 percent.

Many callers mention Penn State and Syracuse and they often seek advice on how to report potential molesters or stop abuse, Marsh said.

"We haven't seen anything like this before in terms of response on the hotlines," she said.

Calls to the Childhelp national child sexual abuse hotline are up about 20 percent since charges were filed against Sandusky at the start of November, said Michelle Fingerman, the hotline's director.

Calls by adults who were victimized as children are up by almost a third, she said.

"We're just picking up the phone more often, and the calls are longer. They are really more intense," Fingerman said.

"FOOTBALL IS PART OF AMERICA"

The National Crime Victim Bar Association, which helps crime victims with civil suits, has seen a tripling of calls on child sexual abuse since the Sandusky case broke, said director Jeff Dion.

He and Hamilton, the lawyer, said they expected to see an upsurge in child sexual abuse civil cases. The number will depend on statutes of limitations, which in most states expire generally by the time the victims are in their early 20s.

The Sandusky case had had a much bigger impact with sexual abuse victims than the scandal involving Catholic priests since Sandusky had been a well-respected coach at a high-profile college program, Childhelp's Fingerman said.

"Football is part of America, really, and people are seeing that this can happen in any type of situation. It's not a certain demographic or socioeconomic class," she said.

(Reporting By Ian Simpson; Editing by Jerry Norton)

Source: http://us.rd.yahoo.com/dailynews/rss/crime/*http%3A//news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20111222/us_nm/us_crime_coach

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Soletron targets $60 billion streetwear market (Reuters)

(Reuters) ? Soletron, a start-up backed by former Adobe Systems Chief Executive Bruce Chizen, is building an online marketplace for streetwear and sneakers, a market that is worth almost $60 billion by one estimate.

Soletron, run by Shane Robinson and Allen Steigman, raised about $250,000 from angel investors including Chizen in early 2011 and launched its market in November. The company is raising more money in a series A round of venture capital financing early next year and Chizen plans to invest in the business again then.

"Urban wear is a huge niche that no one really pays attention to," Chizen told Reuters. "To become the Etsy of the streetwear market -- that's the whole idea."

Etsy, an online marketplace for handmade and vintage products launched in 2005, now has over 12 million members and saw sales of almost $500 million this year, through November.

Soletron has about 50 streetwear and sneaker designers selling more than 1,200 products so far. Brands include Dunkelvolk, Nooka and Kanvas Kings.

The company collects transaction fees from linking designers and buyers and generates other revenue from advertising and member subscriptions.

Robinson and Steigman have big plans because their target market is potentially huge. There is little official data on this part of the apparel market, but accounting firm Grant Thorton pegged urban apparel sales at $58 billion in 2006.

U.S. teenagers aged 15 to 19 spend $22 billion a year on fashion products, according to estimates by Piper Jaffray. Action sports brands, Wall Street's term for streetwear brands like Volcom, Quiksilver and Hurley, have been the most popular among wealthier teens since late 2008, according surveys conducted by the investment bank.

Volcom was acquired by French luxury giant PPR this year, and Nike owns Hurley.

"This industry is the proverbial sleeping giant of the retail and e-commerce worlds," Robinson said.

Soletron is competing against Karmaloop, an online streetwear retailer that is on course to generate about $130 million in revenue this year. The company, run by Greg Selkoe, has an online marketplace called Kazba, which accounts for about 10 percent of sales.

"There's room for more people doing it," Selkoe said.

"18 to 24 year-olds have spending power of $90 billion in the U.S. and a good 20 percent of that money goes into buying into this type of clothing and sneakers," he added. "Extrapolate globally and that's a massive market."

(Reporting by Alistair Barr in San Francisco; Editing by Steve Orlofsky)

Source: http://us.rd.yahoo.com/dailynews/rss/internet/*http%3A//news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20111222/wr_nm/us_soletron_streetwear

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China makes record purchase as eurozone puts assets up for sale

China's? $3.5 billion investment in Portugal power producer is its largest yet in Europe, and signals willingness to buy assets even as it balks at purchasing bonds from indebted eurozone countries.

China?s Three Gorges Corp. has bought a 21 percent share in Portugal?s largest power producer from the country?s debt-burdened government, in a clear sign that Beijing may help bail out cash-strapped European nations, but only if it gets something worthwhile in return.

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The Chinese government has responded coolly to pleas that it use some of its $3.2 trillion in foreign reserves to buy bonds from struggling governments in Greece, Italy, and Spain. But officials here have said they are interested in picking up European assets.

This week?s $3.5 billion deal by Three Gorges, which operates the world's largest hydroelectric project, is? the largest-ever Chinese investment in Europe. It comes only weeks after Trade Minister Chen Deming told Chinese businessmen that ?some European countries are facing a debt crisis and hope to convert their assets into cash and would like foreign capital to acquire their enterprises. We will be watching closely and pushing forward progress.?

The Portuguese government had been forced to sell off its share in Energias de Portugal as part of a ?78 billion bailout package from the European Union and the International Monetary Fund. Lisbon is also selling a 40 percent share in its national power grid operator, and another state-owned Chinese company, China State Grid Corp., is bidding for it.

?The European economy needs blood, but not in the form of a transfusion asking for us to buy their bonds,? said Wang Yiming, a senior economic policymaker, at a meeting in Brussels last month. ?We need to create new blood by promoting investment.?

Not always welcome

Such investment is not always welcome. Last month the Icelandic government nixed a $200 million plan by a Chinese businessman to buy 115 square miles of land to build a tourist resort.

Chinese Deputy Foreign Minister Fu Ying lashed out earlier this month at such reticence, saying she hoped that ?our economic activities are not interpreted from a political perspective and are not imbued with political interests.?

Beijing is encouraging its state-owned enterprises, many of which are flush with cash, to seek opportunities abroad, and Europe is a promising destination.

Britain, for example, is seeking foreign investors to fund the lion?s share of a $310 billion plan to upgrade the nation?s roads, railways, utilities, and Internet systems, and is looking to China, among others.

?We are looking for short-term projects to invest in almost immediately, and that could mean next year,? Qi Yue, an executive at CITIC Construction Co., told the official China Daily on his way to the first meeting of the UK-China Infrastructure Taskforce last week.

Chinese corporations are growing increasingly adventurous in Europe. The Shanghai-based automobile manufacturer Geely bought Volvo in 2010, and earlier this year the China National Chemical Corp. paid $2.2 billion for Elkem, the Norwegian manufacturer of key components in solar panels.

Still, China?s total non-financial investment in European Union member states is still tiny ? around $15 billion according to a recent report by the Rhodium Group, a consultancy in New York, which is only 0.2 percent of all the foreign investment in Europe.

Source: http://rss.csmonitor.com/~r/feeds/csm/~3/XhtE5eKWC6w/China-makes-record-purchase-as-eurozone-puts-assets-up-for-sale

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tabletmag: Georgia and Israel would be good friends, but larger powers keep getting in the way (by @jkirchick) http://t.co/BmvkIvLP

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A Very Mega-Load Christmas: Moscow Mayor Not Happy About Holiday Week Shipments

Moscow Mayor Nancy Chaney isn't happy about the lack of holiday cheer from mega-load movers.

In a letter to Capt. Lonnie Richardson of the Idaho State Police and Brian Ness, director of the Idaho Transportation Department, Chaney said she was "alarmed by the apparent disregard for the public's safety, for distraction from law enforcement's seasonal focus on impaired driving, for the obstruction of commercial delivery trucks, and for the safety of weary holiday travelers and revelers on treacherous roads."

In particular, Chaney siad that she was initially informed that mega-load shipments were suspended for the holiday season, effective Dec. 15. But as of this morning, two over-legal loads were rolling through her city. Chaney told Citydesk this morning that movers, hauling giant oil rigs through Idaho on their way to the Kearl Oil Sands Project in Alberta, Canada, said that they needed only to give "one day's notice" before their decision to roll.

"It's dangerous and it's inconsiderate," Chaney told Citydesk.

In her letter to Richardson and Ness, Chaney said she was "concerned for the safety and well-being of Moscow's Police, who consistenly do whatever it takes to protect the public and enforce the law, even to their personal detriment."

Chaney said she wanted the shipments to halt, at least for now.

"My first choice is that the mega-loads cease," wrote Chaney.

Source: http://www.boiseweekly.com/CityDesk/archives/2011/12/21/a-very-mega-load-christmas-moscow-mayor-not-happy-about-holiday-week-shipments

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